Around 3″ Tomorrow, Much More Monday into Tuesday

Remember when I said there was more snow coming last week? I wasn’t wrong. Tomorrow we’ll get this little gem with about a max for 3 inches of snow.

This is the NWS current prediction on their weather page.

There is a 10% of 4 inches, so they seem confident on the 3 or less inches.

Monday Afternoon

Then looking to Monday, we have a very high chance for over 6 inches of snow from Monday evening into Tuesday.

In total, looking ahead to total accumulation between today and Tuesday at noon, we could have up to 14 additional inches of snow on the ground.

Remember to always stay weather aware and look for updated sources before venturing out.

Around 7 Inches of Snow Coming

Looking forward to tomorrow, more snow will be coming and this will be a bigger system dumping more snow on us.


I am pretty sure this will change yet and will narrow in on totals tomorrow morning. If we look at Windy, we are seeing around 7 inches of snow.

Screen Shot 2019-02-05 at 9.57.46 PM

Looking at the models you can see again that this is probably accurate.


Taking a look at the timing seems to fall around 6 pm tomorrow, but again, I’m sure the NWS will release more details on this in the morning.


Stay tuned into my page and the NWS page for details on this storm and keep informed and always be weather aware.

Forecasting can be Hard!

I am not sure how close you watched this storm, but it was a weird one. I was sort of paying attention to the storm estimated totals throughout the prediction cycle.

It started out at 3-4 inches, moved to 2-3 inches last night sometime. As I was looking at the models, I was seeing zero to maybe an inch which the NWS confirmed in the morning with a similar estimate. When I blew snow tonight, it looked more like 3-4 inches.

This storm is a prime example of why forecasting is hard. The conditions were changing so rapidly, it was hard for the models and the forecasts to keep up.

If I find more of the science of why this happened, I can share it with you.

A Possibility of Snow Tomorrow

Updated: Looking at the models this morning, it’s starting to realign with what the NWS is predicting, but it’s still MUCH less. I still think we will get an inch maybe 2.

They are saying we are supposed to get snow tomorrow. I am not convinced. Based on what I have heard it’ll start snowing sometime in the morning, after the rush hour in the cities. They say we’ll get 3-4 inches.

Diving in a bit more into their predictions, here in the Mankato area we should be getting about 3 inches.

Looking at the models that I have been using, I am not convinced we’ll get much. Looking at the latest models, it’s showing that we’ll get a dusting if that.

And my favorite site Windy agrees with that.

Another model is still showing 3 inches, so who really knows for sure.

My prediction will be a dusting of snow to maybe an inch based on what I see.

Looking forward into Thursday… that’s a different story. Windy is saying, in total, we might be getting up to 10 inches of snow over the next 10 days. Looking at the models, I am seeing somewhere between 3-7 inches so far.

Be weather aware!